Wednesday, February 4, 2009

Russia and Afghanistan



Kyzrgajhfjdhfdstan's Kurmanbek Bakiyev and Russia's Dmitri Medvedev


i considered posting part of a paper i wrote on american foreign policy with russia but i just want to stick to my guns about trying to make this as simple as possible. the paper is all academic and shit so fuck that!  ok its like this

us and russia were kind of about to lockhorns towards the end of the bush administrations run. reason being russia was treated like shit through out the 90s and forced into all types of agreements that wasnt beneficial to it. in the last couple of years or so the us has also been pushing for the entry of former soviet states into the NATO. most notable of them being ukraine and georgia.

these 2 states are waaaay to important for russia to lose to western influence and may be the biggest act of aggression by the us aside from a bullshit missile shield in poland and czech republic.

Obama and Putin

since the start of the obama presidency theres been progress already. its safe to assume obama will scrap the anti missile shield considering russias respose to it was to place short range missiles in the enclave of kaliningrad, which is sandwiched between poland and lithuania. two countries that reallyyyy dont like to see russia behave like this. its been said in the past week that russia will not be placing the missiles there, so yea i guess obama got the message. another issue seems to be the arms treaty and all signs point to this working out just the way the russians want it. 


Russia Afghaistand and America

its kind of funny how the ussr bled out in afghanistan thanks to us supporting the mujahadeen and eventually bin laden. im not saying russia is doing the same, but they arent exactly helping YET. NATO supply routes are constantly getting attacked. just today 10 trucks were hit in pakistan which is the home of our major supply route. theyre obviously needs to be an alternative because pakistan cant do shit and well russia is right there. if you want help from any of the stans above afghanistan then you have to go through putin. its his sphere of influence and you have to be prepared to pay the toll. america is slowly starting to understand this. it kind of sped up the process when kyrgyzstan decided to kick america out of a key air force base too


now i dont know much about the military of the stans. i doubt theyre very advanced but when medvedev calls for something equal to NATO i dont think they want to be too far off in the aspect of importance in the region. an alliance between these countries in afghanistan could potentially be as powerful just by being familiar with the area. there is no trade route issue, every state that a supply would need to go through is basicly at each others borders and its support from this organization/russia is what obama NEEDS to win afghanistan. do it or pack your shit because we cant win without it

karzai knows cooperation with russia is a must. he actually has to be in that shithole, there is no eventual withdrawl for him so it made sense to point fingers at americans for the death of civilians. he has to answer to the people. it also made sense for him to buddy up to russia as the power afghanistan will really need to answer to in a couple of years. now hamid karzais presidency will end may 20 with no election but because of his newfound ties with the kremlin theres no way he stays in office. some western friendly pawn will pop up, who i dont know, but it should be interesting to see if america can sell him to afghanistan and the arab world without russia

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